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Chelsea Shearling JacketCHL-BLK · tracking
A
Product Intelligence
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Searching CHL-BLK — health, returns, velocity and channels in one view
This MonthAll Channels
Chelsea Shearling Jacket
CHL-BLKA
7.5
Velocity
22.0%
Return Rate
186
In Stock
$595
Price
×
Chelsea Shearling JacketA
CHL-BLK · Black · Jackets
$595
Retail
7.5/wk
Sales Vel.
1.7/wk
Return Vel.
22.0%
Return Rate
84%
Sell-Thru
0
Health · A
Returns
95
Sell-Thru
84
Margin
82
Velocity
90
Predicted Returns88% conf · Rising
22.0%
Closed
38.0%
Open
45.0%
Projected
45.0%
Final
Return Velocity · Arrival TimingHealthy early curve
50%
Wk 1
26%
Wk 2
14%
Wk 3
7%
Wk 4
3%
Wk 5+
Return rate · trajectoryTrending up → 45%
Predictive flag · danger ahead
Closed returns read 22%, but size-S units are arriving fast — Reportly projects a 45% final rate. Act before the window closes.
Return Intelligence
Chelsea Shearling Jacket — return outlook.
Velocity-adjusted forecast, reason & size attribution, and per-channel breakdown for CHL-BLK
All channels Macy's Nordstrom Shopify Bloomingdale's
Closed Return Rate
22.0%
all channels
Predicted Final
45.0%
+23% · rising
Return Velocity
1.42×
baseline · accelerating
Fit Score
64
size S runs small
Grade A · CHL-BLK
A
Chelsea Shearling Jacket
CHL-BLK · Black · $595
22.0%
Closed Rate
45.0%
Predicted Final
88%
Confidence
48%
Size S Return
Looks healthy — for now. Closed returns read 22%, but size-S units are arriving back fast and the open window is widening. Reportly projects a 45% final rate and flags it before the window closes.
Return rate · trajectoryTrending up → 45%
22%
This month
35%
Next month
45%
In 2 months
Return Rate by Regionall channels
LowerHigher
Predicted Returns
22.0%
Closed
38.0%
Open
45.0%
Projected
45.0%
Final
88% confidence · open-window returns arriving 1.6× faster than closed.
Return Reasonsweighted
Size too small45%
Unwanted25%
Not as described18%
Defective12%
Return Rate by Sizeall
—
S
—
M
—
L
—
XL
Size S spiking at 48% — runs small. This is what drives the projected 45%.
Marketplaces
One catalogue. Every channel.
Channel-level performance with Chelsea tracked across all four marketplaces
Macy's Nordstrom Shopify Bloomingdale's
Channel Health
78 · B
3P Marketplace
Revenue · latest
$398k
+8% YoY
Avg Return Rate
37.3%
channel average
AOV
$242
38% margin
Revenue · 12 monthsMacy's
Return reasonsweighted
Chelsea on Macy's
CHL-BLK · tracked
A
20.0%
Return rate
$85.2k
Revenue
−17.3%
vs channel
Best return rate on Macy's — 17.3% below the 37.3% channel average.
Top products · this channelby revenue
Smart Stock
Reorder on net demand, not gut feel.
Return-adjusted demand, days of cover and size reallocation — Chelsea and the catalogue
60-day horizon
Chelsea · Days of Cover
174d
healthy buffer
Net Demand · 60d
52u
after returns back
Returns Expected Back
12u
resellable
Recommended PO
+20%
demand +14% MoM
Restock recommendationssorted by priority
ProductStockDays of CoverNetBackPriority
Summit Shearling Coat
SSC-TAN
8
9d
3615Critical
Rexton Bomber
RXB-OLV
36
27d
6417High
Chelsea Shearling Jacket
CHL-BLK · tracked
186
174d
5212Monitor
Alfie Shearling Jacket
MFB-NVY
142
181d
3413Monitor
Corsair Quilted Parka
CQP-BLK
260
364d
349Monitor
Chelsea Shearling Jacket — 174d cover, no reorder needed yet. Demand +14% MoM suggests a +20% PO next cycle. Sizes balanced.
Stockout countdownat current velocity
Summit Shearling Coat
9d
Rexton Bomber
27d
Volkov Leather Racer
65d
Chelsea Shearling Jacket
174d
Size reallocation intelligence
Summit ShearlingL → S · shift 5%
Volkov RacerM → XL · shift 5%
Chelsea JacketBalanced · no change
Marketing
Spend where it returns.
Channel spend efficiency and promotional lift — Chelsea leads the catalogue at 20.3× ROAS
Last 6 months
Total Ad Spend
$191k
last 6 months
Attributed Revenue
$970k
+8.4% MoM
Avg CPA
$12.40
$1.85 CPC
Conversion Rate
3.8%
click → purchase
Active & recent campaigns2 live
Spring Flash SaleEnded
Macy's · Shopify · Apr 15 – Apr 22 · ROAS 6.0× · +18.3% revenue lift
Earth Day CollectionLive
Shopify DTC · Apr 22 – May 1 · ROAS 6.5× · +12.1% revenue lift
Mother's Day PreviewLive
Macy's · Nordstrom · Bloomingdale's · ROAS 2.7× · +8.7% lift
Promotion calendar · Apr–May3 scheduled
Spring Flash SaleApr 15–22 · Macy's, Shopify
Earth Day CollectionApr 22–May 1 · Shopify DTC
Mother's Day PreviewApr 28–May 10 · 3 channels
5.1×
Blended ROAS · return on ad spend
Top products · ROASspend / revenue
Chelsea Shearling Jacket
$4.2k$85.2k20.3×
Corsair Quilted Parka
$3.4k$68.4k20.1×
Rexton Bomber
$2.8k$55.6k19.9×
Summit Shearling Coat
$2.6k$48.2k18.5×
Profitability
Protect margin, not just revenue.
True landed-cost P&L after returns, fees and overhead — Chelsea contributes +$4.6k
This Month
Net Profit
−$77.3k
−78.5% net margin
Gross Revenue
$143.2k
267 units sold
Return Costs
$46.5k
81 units returned
Break-even Volume
1,104u
837 units to go
Where your revenue goesfully-loaded P&L
Gross Revenue
+$143.2k
Refunds
−$44.7k
COGS
−$48.1k
Channel Fees
−$21.8k
Warehouse & Ship
−$2.1k
Fixed Overheads
−$102.0k
Net Profit
−$77.3k
Break-even progress267 / 1,104 units
Product P&Lnet contribution
ProductUnitsNetStatus
Chelsea Shearling Jacket
CHL-BLK
30+$4.6k+33.8%
Corsair Quilted Parka
CQP-BLK
20+$3.2k+31.1%
Rexton Bomber
RXB-OLV
38+$3.2k+29.3%
Summit Shearling Coat
SSC-TAN
24+$3.2k+22.5%
Volkov Leather Racer
VLR-BLK
5−$1.2k−18.0%
Chelsea Shearling Jacket — 30 units, $17.9k revenue, +$4.6k net (+33.8% margin). Catalogue's most profitable SKU.
Live Feed
Commerce, in motion.
Chelsea and the full catalogue — orders and returns reconciled live across every channel
Streaming
Revenue · Today
$14.8k
+12% vs yesterday
Orders · Today
81
across 4 channels
Returns · Today
26
−$9.7k value
Return Rate
32.4%
+2.1% MoM
Channel Performancetoday
Macy's$5.2k2828.6%
Nordstrom$4.1k2231.8%
Shopify$3.9k2634.6%
Bloomingdale's$1.6k540.0%
Total$14.8k8132.1%
Top Performersby revenue · 30d
Chelsea Shearling Jacket
$85.2kSales
22%Return
186Stock
Corsair Quilted Parka
$72.6kSales
24%Return
142Stock
Rexton Bomber
$66.3kSales
25%Return
36Stock
Summit Shearling Coat
$55.8kSales
32%Return
8Stock
Fulfilmenton target
94.6%
On-time
38.4h
Median ship
1,284
Orders today
312
Returns reconciled
Live Order & Return FeedLive
ORDERChelsea Shearling JacketMacy's+$595
RETURNVolkov Leather RacerShopify−$550
ORDERRexton BomberShopify+$395
ORDERSummit Shearling CoatNordstrom+$895
RETURNArden Moto JacketNordstrom−$525
ORDERAlfie Shearling JacketBloomingdale's+$495
ORDERCorsair Quilted ParkaShopify+$695
RETURNHarlow Suede ShearlingMacy's−$445
ORDERChelsea Shearling JacketMacy's+$595
RETURNVolkov Leather RacerShopify−$550
ORDERRexton BomberShopify+$395
ORDERSummit Shearling CoatNordstrom+$895
RETURNArden Moto JacketNordstrom−$525
ORDERAlfie Shearling JacketBloomingdale's+$495
ORDERCorsair Quilted ParkaShopify+$695
RETURNHarlow Suede ShearlingMacy's−$445
California
Return rate27.4%
Sales (30d)$48.2k
Top reasonSize too small
Products
Returns
Marketplaces
Smart Stock
Marketing
Profitability
Live Feed